Is it a good time to invest in bitcoin now? Or should I wait?

Published May 22, 2025

  • YouTube Video Transcript

    00:01 hey everyone you’re probably wondering
    00:03 with Bitcoin at $103,000 per coin is it
    00:06 a good time to invest in Bitcoin or
    00:08 should you wait my answer is always the
    00:10 same now is a good time to invest in
    00:12 Bitcoin and you’re probably thinking
    00:14 “But wait Joel you always say that you
    00:16 always say it’s a good time to invest in
    00:18 Bitcoin how can it always be a good time
    00:20 to invest in Bitcoin?” The answer is
    00:21 because you can’t time the market and
    00:24 what I mean by timing the market is you
    00:26 can’t tell what is high and what is low
    00:28 it’s impossible to tell what’s high and
    00:30 what is low because you don’t know the
    00:31 future and so what seems high or seems
    00:34 low is only as related to the recent
    00:37 past or the past in general and with any
    00:41 asset that has a huge amount of upside
    00:43 potential what matters is the future and
    00:45 not the past so you you don’t know what
    00:48 low or high is because you don’t know
    00:49 what the future holds uh so let’s
    00:51 imagine you you’re going to rewind back
    00:53 to the 1990s and you’re trying to invest
    00:56 in you’re trying to decide whether to
    00:57 invest in Amazon or Apple or you know
    01:01 Amazon or I should say uh Microsoft or
    01:04 any of the companies that became part of
    01:06 the Magnificent 7 that actually existed
    01:08 back in the ’90s and let’s say their
    01:11 stock price today is $500 and back then
    01:14 it was you know 50 so you could have
    01:16 made a,000 times your money literally 1
    01:18 0 0 0,000 times your money $1,000 turns
    01:22 into a million dollar well 50 cent stock
    01:26 price is you’re thinking “Oh but but
    01:28 that’s really expensive because it was
    01:30 40 cents and now it’s 50 cents and 50
    01:32 cents is close to the highest it’s ever
    01:34 been so why would I buy Microsoft or
    01:36 Amazon or Apple at 50 cents a share it’s
    01:38 so expensive because it used to be 30
    01:40 cents and then it used to be 40 cents
    01:42 and now it’s 50 cents.” Well again in
    01:44 retrospect you should have bought it at
    01:46 any of those prices you should have
    01:47 bought it at 30 cents 40 cents 50 cents
    01:50 all of the prices in the 1990s were
    01:53 fantastic prices to buy Amazon Apple or
    01:55 Microsoft there was no bad time to buy
    01:58 it you know there was no concept of high
    02:01 or low that made sense because even the
    02:03 highest price in the 1990s looks
    02:07 ridiculously cheap today and so if you
    02:09 only bought assets when they seemed like
    02:11 they were cheap you’d basically never
    02:13 buy any high-erforming asset because
    02:15 high-erforming assets go up over time
    02:18 which means they’re constantly feeling
    02:19 like they’re expensive bitcoin itself
    02:22 has felt expensive from day one
    02:25 literally every single person who has
    02:27 ever acquired Bitcoin at any price has
    02:30 thought it was expensive because
    02:32 initially it had no price and it was
    02:34 priced at a fraction of a penny and then
    02:36 it was worth a bitcoin was worth a penny
    02:37 and that seems so expensive and then it
    02:40 was worth 10 cents and that seems so
    02:41 expensive and then it was worth a dollar
    02:43 and it seemed so expensive cuz it used
    02:45 to be worth just 10 cents or 1 cent and
    02:47 then it was worth $10 and that seems so
    02:48 expensive and then it was $100 and then
    02:51 a,000 and$10,000 all of those prices
    02:53 seemed so expensive and since I’ve been
    02:57 involved in Bitcoin since
    02:59 2017 which is 8 years now um back then
    03:03 uh the prices today I remember everybody
    03:05 thinking back then uh the same thing
    03:07 they think now except there was a zero
    03:09 missing so the price of Bitcoin right
    03:11 now is
    03:12 103,000 and back then it was 10,300
    03:15 exactly the same price you just take a
    03:17 zero off 103,000 turns into 10,300 and
    03:21 then it dipped to 7,400 which is the
    03:23 equivalent of 74,000 and then it went up
    03:26 to 80 you know 8,500 and then it was
    03:29 9,400 and then it was 10,300 again all
    03:32 the time everyone was worried about it’s
    03:34 expensive and you know why would I buy
    03:36 it at 10,300 because it used to be
    03:39 8,400 just 3 weeks ago and before that
    03:41 it was 7,400 and then it was 9,600 and
    03:45 like everybody spent all this time
    03:47 worrying that they were buying expensive
    03:49 Bitcoin when the truth is all of those
    03:51 prices are up a,000%
    03:53 everyone who bought who who bought
    03:55 Bitcoin at any price between 7,400 and
    04:00 10,300 is up somewhere between 10 and 15
    04:03 times their money which is a fantastic
    04:06 return over eight years that is a
    04:08 fantastic return so um but again
    04:11 everybody tons of people were not buying
    04:13 Bitcoin at 10,300 because it was so
    04:15 expensive and they were going to wait
    04:16 for they were going to wait till they
    04:17 could buy it at 8,500 and then of course
    04:20 you know eventually 8,500 never came and
    04:22 they never got to buy Bitcoin at 8,500
    04:25 because it took off and it just went a
    04:27 whole lot higher um so anyway it’s never
    04:30 a bad time to buy Bitcoin uh when you’re
    04:32 when you’re sitting on an asset or you
    04:34 can potentially be buying an asset that
    04:37 will be up 10x somewhere between 10x and
    04:39 50x 100x whatever in the future every
    04:42 price is cheap um I can’t time the
    04:45 market the the person who buys more
    04:46 Bitcoin than any other human on the
    04:48 planet is Michael Sailor the uh CEO of
    04:50 Micro Strategy mstr is their ticker and
    04:53 they just go by the word strategy now he
    04:55 has bought more Bitcoin than any other
    04:57 human on the planet and he buys it at
    04:59 every price every time he has capital
    05:01 availability he buys Bitcoin he doesn’t
    05:02 make any effort whatsoever to try to
    05:05 time the market because he knows it’s
    05:06 impossible to time the market i know
    05:08 it’s impossible to time the market and
    05:10 anyone who’s ever tried to trade stocks
    05:12 or trade commodities or play the stock
    05:15 market all knows you get burned you
    05:17 cannot tell when it’s high you can’t
    05:19 tell when it’s low you know when it
    05:22 feels like a great time to buy it is
    05:24 when it’s going up it feels like a bad
    05:26 time to buy everything when the price is
    05:28 on sale like you will just never win by
    05:31 trying to wait to buy when things are
    05:33 cheap because they will always seem like
    05:35 they’re expensive with and you just
    05:37 you’ll end up never buying that’s the re
    05:38 the vast majority of the time the reason
    05:40 people never bought Amazon or Microsoft
    05:43 or Apple is the stock seemed too
    05:44 expensive well they could have made you
    05:46 know a hundred times a thousand times
    05:48 now their money literally a thousand
    05:49 times their money from 1990s to the to
    05:53 the present but they didn’t because it
    05:55 was too expensive it was too expensive
    05:56 to buy back then so my recommendation to
    05:59 everybody is whatever Bitcoin you’re
    06:02 going to buy just buy it u put it out of
    06:04 your mind stop thinking about it come
    06:06 back at some point at years in the
    06:08 future it’ll be worth a lot more if you
    06:10 try to time it by buying it at specific
    06:12 prices I promise you’ll lose people
    06:14 always do they always try they always
    06:16 lose just don’t do that if you’re gonna
    06:18 buy Bitcoin just buy it um anyway it’s
    06:21 same advice I’ve been giving for years
    06:23 the same advice I was giving when
    06:24 Bitcoin was below 7 $17,000 so everybody
    06:28 who bought Bitcoin when I was saying
    06:29 this exact same thing below $17,000 is
    06:32 up 600% they made six times their money
    06:34 and that was from 2022 2023 uh to the
    06:39 present so just in the last two or three
    06:40 years there’s up they’re up 600% on the
    06:43 Bitcoin they said to buy and back then
    06:45 again everybody was like “Yeah but FTX
    06:47 blew up it could go lower bitcoin’s
    06:49 $17,000 i’m going to wait and buy it
    06:51 till it’s $15,000.” Guess what it never
    06:53 it never was $15,000 um if you wanted
    06:57 $15,000 Bitcoin you had to do that years
    06:59 earlier than that it never got that low
    07:01 in 2022 and I didn’t try to time the
    07:03 market i was buying it all the way down
    07:05 i’ve been buying it all the way up the
    07:07 most recent Bitcoin I bought was when my
    07:09 paycheck hit what day of the week is it
    07:11 okay so it’s the 17th so I had a
    07:13 paycheck hit earlier this week um and I
    07:16 literally it hit the bank account and I
    07:18 went in and I bought Bitcoin at 104,000
    07:20 a coin or whatever it was earlier this
    07:22 week 103 104,000 a coin i’m not going to
    07:25 wait in time the market i have no idea
    07:27 for all I know 150,000’s right around
    07:30 the corner like why on earth would I
    07:32 wait and try to get it a little cheaper
    07:34 and then miss up on a,000% upside
    07:37 because I was waiting for 10% cheaper it
    07:39 just doesn’t make any sense to do that
    07:40 um so it’s good time to buy Bitcoin i
    07:44 would buy again anybody who’s planning
    07:45 to buy Bitcoin just buy it like again
    07:47 you can’t time the market ask anybody
    07:49 who’s ever attempted to time the market
    07:51 you can’t time the bit the market with
    07:53 Bitcoin you can’t uh time the market
    07:55 with any asset uh so buy whatever
    07:57 Bitcoin you can sit on it as long as
    07:59 conceivably possible and um that’s same
    08:02 advice as always and it’s the same
    08:03 advice at uh at you know10 $103,000 as
    08:08 it is at
    08:09 $10,300 which is the same price price
    08:12 recommendation at $103 um also if you’re
    08:15 wondering why I’m sitting in the dark
    08:16 it’s because my power is out for the
    08:18 10th time in 2025 literally the 10th
    08:20 time for more than 40 hours of
    08:24 2025 my power has somehow been out uh in
    08:28 Mississippi um so I travel a lot but
    08:31 sometimes I’m in Mississippi and I’m in
    08:32 Mississippi right now and the power is
    08:34 out for the literal 10th time in 2025
    08:37 for a cumulative total of more than 40
    08:39 hours it feels like I’m living in a
    08:41 third world country for power
    08:43 availability the the power availability
    08:45 everywhere I travel is better than here
    08:48 so in Honduras the power availability is
    08:51 much more reliable in Honduras than it
    08:54 is when I’m in Mississippi i just don’t
    08:56 know how that’s even possible but for
    08:58 whatever reason the power is constantly
    09:00 going in and out and it is it’s not just
    09:03 me it’s like the whole area around me is
    09:05 constantly losing power so at some point
    09:07 I may buy that generator i’ve been
    09:09 talking about buying i just don’t want
    09:10 to separate i don’t want to pay the
    09:12 Bitcoin to buy it and Bitcoin is the
    09:14 only form of currency I have to buy this
    09:15 generator and you know it’s a shame to
    09:18 buy something with Bitcoin when it’s
    09:19 going to go up in the future but if it’s
    09:21 the only currency you have like me at
    09:22 some point you got to decide you’re sick
    09:24 of living in the dark um so anyway I may
    09:26 finally pull the trigger on that who
    09:28 knows we’ll see uh but now’s a great
    09:30 time to buy Bitcoin uh that has not
    09:32 changed and um anyway buy as much as you
    09:35 can sit on it as long as conceivably
    09:36 possible my advice has stayed the same
    09:38 year upon year upon year and it’s never
    09:41 been bad advice have a great evening
    09:43 everyone thanks

**Originally recorded on 5/17/25**

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Disclaimer:

The content provided in this post is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and all opinions expressed are my own. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in Bitcoin or any other assets carries risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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