Bitcoin in 2025 – WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW!

00:01 hey everyone happy New Year in 2025
00:04 let’s talk about what you need to know
00:06 about Bitcoin in 2025 so probably the
00:10 biggest thing that anyone is talking
00:12 about in the world of Bitcoin is whether
00:15 we are going to get a big pullback in
00:17 the price of Bitcoin in
00:19 2026 not this year but next year or
00:23 whether we are in something called a
00:24 super cycle meaning we’re not going to
00:26 get a major pullback uh so let’s do a
00:29 recap of the price cycle of Bitcoin so
00:32 Bitcoin started out uh at about 5 cents
00:35 by the time it really had a price that
00:36 was consistent for any period of time it
00:38 was about 5 cents it ran up over a
00:41 period of time to $32 then it came back
00:43 down to $2 which was a 94% price
00:46 correction uh then over the next couple
00:48 years it went up down to uh uh went up
00:50 to
00:51 $11,200 came down to $92 now remember
00:54 those base sort of Baseline numbers were
00:56 $2 you know 5 cents then $2 then $92 but
00:60 when it came down from $1,200 to $92
01:03 that was a 93% price correction the
01:05 previous one was 94% the that one was
01:08 93% uh then the price went up to um
01:13 $119,000 and came back down to
01:16 $3,200 uh that again $3,200 is radically
01:20 higher than the $92 which was the
01:22 previous low but it was still down about
01:24 84% as compared to the the
01:27 $19,000 uh then Bitcoin went up to 69,00
01:30 ,000 in 2021 came back down to
01:34 $15,500 now $15,500 was way higher than
01:38 the previous low of 3,200 but still
01:41 about 70 uh 78% 78 about 78% below uh
01:47 the all-time high now so what do I think
01:49 is going to happen from here right now
01:51 as I talk Bitcoin is about $997,000 per
01:54 coin so the debate in Bitcoin land is
01:58 will there be a big price correction in
01:60 2026 or not or are we in a super cycle
02:04 and meaning we are not going to see the
02:06 big price uh pullbacks we’ve seen
02:08 historically about every four years so
02:10 uh the price highs the highest price
02:13 years of Bitcoin tend to be the year
02:16 after the having which I’ve talked about
02:18 in other videos which is the year after
02:20 the presidential election it just so
02:21 happens that the presidential election
02:23 year lines up with the Bitcoin
02:30 the best year of Bitcoin price ever but
02:34 that would also predict if history is a
02:37 guide that after a massive rally in 2025
02:41 that then we were are going to see a
02:42 significant price correction in 2026
02:45 well why does that happen well because
02:47 what happens is at the beginning of a as
02:50 as as I heard earlier this week someone
02:52 said look at the beginning of a bitcoin
02:54 price cycle you are telling your Uber
02:56 driver about Bitcoin and by the end of
02:58 the Bitcoin price cycle your Uber driver
03:01 is telling you about Bitcoin so I
03:04 thought that was a good way of sort of
03:05 thinking about you know in in the early
03:07 days of of a price cycle in this one
03:09 case 2022 2023 and 2024 or I guess 2022
03:14 was a down year so it would be 2023 2024
03:16 and 2025 you know back in 2023 nobody
03:19 wanted to talk about Bitcoin except
03:20 people like me who are buying as much as
03:22 we possibly could in 2024 sort of the
03:24 world starts to wake up and in 2025 if
03:28 history is any guide we will have an
03:30 epic price Rong at some point it will be
03:33 so big that everybody you talk to will
03:36 have bought some amount of Bitcoin and
03:37 will be convinced that they are going to
03:39 get rich you know tomorrow because they
03:42 bought it at 200,000 a coin and they’re
03:44 expecting it to go to $400,000 a coin
03:47 the next day and the short take is
03:49 rallies like that are not sustainable um
03:52 they are completely normal completely
03:53 natural it happens in every asset class
03:56 uh Google Amazon Apple Facebook Tesla
04:00 Netflix Nvidia like every major stock
04:04 and even stock indexes over the Long
04:05 Haul go through uh Cycles like that it’s
04:08 just in Bitcoin it tends to be a
04:10 four-year cycle and other assets tend to
04:12 not have the sort of same um you know
04:15 they tend to either be shorter or longer
04:17 than that for individual stocks it tends
04:18 to be shorter for entire you know stock
04:21 markets it tends to be longer for
04:22 example the S&P 500 which is the 500
04:25 largest US Stocks um you know there
04:28 tends to be a major recession about
04:30 about every 10 years or in this case
04:32 maybe 10 or 15 years who knows um but
04:34 the short take is it’s just you just
04:36 can’t get a parabolic rise that lasts
04:38 forever because eventually you know when
04:40 every single Uber driver is buying
04:42 Bitcoin you just run out of Uber drivers
04:45 that keep pushing the price Higher and
04:46 Higher and Higher and there’s people
04:48 that are sitting on major gains with
04:50 Bitcoin they bought at 60,000 or 880,000
04:52 or 120,000 that you know bit when
04:55 bitcoin’s up at 280,000 they’re like you
04:57 know I there’s something nice I might
04:59 want to buy or I might want to pay my
05:01 house off or I might want to you know
05:02 buy a new Tesla or I might want to
05:04 whatever now in my case I have no debt
05:06 so I have no house to pay off but there
05:08 are a lot of people out there that when
05:10 Bitcoin gets high enough they start
05:12 getting debt free or they start you know
05:15 wanting to upgrade their lifestyle or
05:17 things like that so as a result of that
05:18 you just end up in a world where you
05:20 can’t sustain a parabolic rally forever
05:23 and it has the price has to come back
05:25 down to something more reasonable that
05:28 reflects actual adoption rather than
05:30 just sort of raw speculation um and
05:33 speculation is good that’s what price
05:35 Discovery is the the way we find out
05:37 what everything in this world is worth
05:39 is by people speculating on what it’s
05:40 worth and if enough people are
05:42 speculating you’ll they’ll eventually
05:44 figure out what the fair price of
05:45 anything is including Bitcoin so if
05:48 history is a guide we will see a huge
05:50 price run in 2025 followed by a
05:53 correction in 2026 now the first
05:56 question everybody asks is but wait
05:58 maybe instead of buying Bitcoin Co now I
06:00 should wait for 2026 and buy it when
06:02 it’s cheaper um typically everybody
06:04 who’s ever attempted to do that ends up
06:06 losing out and the reason for that is
06:08 one we don’t know if there will be a
06:10 price correction in 2026 the fact that
06:13 Bitcoin has gone through these Cycles
06:15 all of that happened prior to bitcoin
06:17 being adopted by Wall Street uh with the
06:19 Bitcoin ETFs the exchange traded funds
06:22 that launched in January of 2024 and
06:24 without those Bitcoin ETFs the market
06:26 was mostly controlled by average retail
06:29 investors I mean just individuals and
06:31 individuals are a lot less predictable
06:35 than than people on Wall Street meaning
06:37 individuals tend to freak out a lot
06:38 easier and they also tend to get overly
06:42 uh optimistic more so than professional
06:45 investors so as a result of that
06:47 bitcoin’s up and down price Cycles have
06:49 been uh sort of much more pronounced
06:51 because they’ve been relying on average
06:53 people and their behavior and average
06:55 people and their behavior is much more
06:57 uh pronounced to the upside and the
06:59 downside
07:00 than professional Traders and investors
07:02 on Wall Street um so now that we’re
07:04 we’ve moved more into a professional
07:07 world where the Bitcoin ETFs and Bitcoin
07:09 itself is held by a lot of companies Etc
07:12 um we may not get a down a downturn in
07:14 2026 so if somebody came to me and said
07:17 I’m going to wait and buy Bitcoin on a
07:18 downturn in 2026 rather than buy it now
07:21 I would say there are multiple problems
07:23 with that strategy one we don’t even
07:25 know there’s going to be a downturn in
07:26 2026 lots of people have been waiting
07:29 for years for a big downturn in the
07:30 overall stock market with the plan to
07:33 invest in fact when I talked to my
07:35 financial the very first financial
07:37 adviser that I set up an account with
07:39 back in 2014 when I sold bomgar
07:41 Corporation the Dow Jones Industrial
07:43 Average was at
07:45 15,500 and I said should I invest now at
07:47 15,500 or since we’re more than you know
07:50 five six seven whatever years since the
07:53 last uh recession in 2008 2009 I guess
07:56 so it was like five or six years I was
07:58 like why don’t I just wait for the
07:60 recession and I’ll and buy stock for
08:02 cheap he’s like yeah but you don’t know
08:04 how high it’s going to go before the
08:05 next recession and if the price goes
08:07 high enough before the the next
08:08 recession then you’re going to end up
08:11 buying it you’re going to end up sitting
08:12 in cash that’s losing value due to
08:15 inflation because the government never
08:17 stopped running their money printers um
08:19 you’re going to either lose a bunch of
08:20 value and then the price correction is
08:22 going to come but it’s never going to
08:23 get anywhere close to
08:26 15,300 and this financial adviser it was
08:29 wise advis it was completely right so we
08:32 have not had a major recession since
08:33 2014 it’s been 10 years had I left that
08:37 money in US Dollars it would have lost a
08:39 substantial amount of its value in that
08:41 time and even if there is a recession in
08:44 this broad stock market right now it
08:46 would be almost Unthinkable that the
08:49 price would get cheaper than 15,300
08:51 meaning the right thing for me to do
08:53 back then was invest my money not to
08:56 wait for a downturn well the same is
08:57 true right now with Bitcoin the best
08:60 thing to do with Bitcoin right now is to
09:02 invest in Bitcoin right now because the
09:05 if there is a downturn in 2026 there is
09:08 a good chance that the downturn in 2026
09:10 will be to a price that is still higher
09:13 than today’s price and even if it’s not
09:15 higher than today’s price the
09:17 probability you’ll know when that
09:18 downturn is happening you know the the
09:21 you’ll be able to predict the bottom of
09:22 it or buy it cheaper than today’s price
09:24 in my opinion is pretty low so Point
09:27 number one for all this is should you
09:29 wait for
09:30 2026 for a downturn to buy Bitcoin my
09:33 answer is no I would not do that almost
09:34 everybody that tries to play that timing
09:36 game ends up losing I I think that’s a
09:39 you know a great way to lose give me one
09:43 second okay so question number two is
09:47 now still a good time to buy Bitcoin I
09:49 would say yes at $97,000 per coin now is
09:52 a great time to buy Bitcoin now if we
09:54 spiked overnight up to 120 150 180,000 a
09:58 coin I would say it’s never a bad time
10:01 to buy Bitcoin you just need to
10:03 understand that if you’re buying in a
10:05 radical UPR rally that you the the the
10:08 ne the necessity for patience is high as
10:12 in you need to be prepared that we could
10:14 go through a downturn and you could have
10:16 to hold that Bitcoin that you bought at
10:18 120 or 150,000 a coin or 180 or 200,000
10:22 a coin you might have to sit on that for
10:24 a year or two or more to get back in the
10:27 money where your investment is worth
10:29 more than you paid for it uh again that
10:31 doesn’t mean it’s a bad investment I
10:33 mean all Investments involve patients
10:35 and virtually all Investments that
10:36 people make in anything are in an asset
10:39 that ends up at some point cheaper than
10:41 the price they paid for it because if it
10:43 wasn’t cheaper than the price they paid
10:45 for it ever it means they perfectly
10:47 timed the bottom of it and nobody
10:49 perfectly times the bottom of anything
10:51 so every asset I’ve ever bought
10:53 including every Bitcoin I’ve ever bought
10:55 at some point after I bought it at that
10:57 price the price went up and down and I
10:59 could have temporarily bought it at some
11:01 cheaper price but that’s impossible to
11:03 time so if you’re waiting for 2026 for a
11:05 downturn in Bitcoin again the number one
11:08 problem with that strategy is there
11:09 might not be a big downturn in Bitcoin
11:12 in 2026 as I said people have been
11:14 waiting for a big downturn in the stock
11:15 market you know since 2014 and it’s been
11:18 a decade and if you’ve out been out of
11:21 the market this whole time well the
11:23 stock market has you know tripled in
11:26 value while you’ve been sitting on the
11:28 sidelines learn losing a third of your
11:29 value to inflation well you’ve been
11:31 completely screwed so I would not so the
11:34 first flaw with that strategy is there
11:36 might not be a downturn in 2026 the
11:38 second one is if there is you have no
11:41 idea when it’s going to start when it’s
11:42 going to end or how low it will go and
11:45 if you time it wrong you’re completely
11:47 screwed so let’s assume the price goes
11:49 runs up to you know 220,000 a coin or
11:53 let’s say 280 that’s a that’s a good
11:54 number I’ve been using a lot
11:56 280,000 and you assume it’s going to
11:58 price crack down to 140,000 and you’re
12:01 going to buy it well first of all 140 is
12:03 higher than today’s price so you’re
12:04 still better off buying it today at 97
12:08 then in 2026 not this year but next year
12:11 Watching You Know buying it at uh at 140
12:15 plus if you decide you’re going to buy
12:17 it at 140 after a 50% price correction
12:19 from
12:20 280,000 then what happens if it only
12:22 price corrects down to 150 because no
12:25 matter what number you are guessing it’s
12:27 going to get to as the lowest price in
12:29 2020 6 um you have a problem which is
12:32 somebody’s trying to out guess you so if
12:34 you’re like I’m sure there’s going to be
12:35 a 50% price correction well guess what
12:37 somebody else is also sure and they plan
12:39 to buy all their Bitcoin at a 49% price
12:42 correction because they assume people
12:44 like you are waiting for a 50% price
12:45 correction therefore the price dips
12:48 almost down to 140,000 but not quite it
12:51 stops at 141 or 142 and a bunch of
12:54 people step in who are like I’m not you
12:56 know I’m going to front run the fools
12:58 that are waiting for 50% um so frankly
13:00 that happened back in 2022 right so a
13:03 lot of people were like I’m waiting for
13:04 an 80% price correction well it never
13:07 got to 80 it got to 78 and people like
13:10 me were buying it all the way down
13:12 because we didn’t know I mean we didn’t
13:14 know if it was going to bottom the
13:15 actual exact precise percentage was
13:18 77.5 so the the price draw down in 2022
13:23 from FTX blowing up and all that sort of
13:25 stuff was 77.5% well there was people
13:28 waiting for 78 there was people waiting
13:30 for 80 there was people waiting for 84
13:32 because the draw down after 2017 had
13:34 been 84% um so you just don’t know and I
13:38 think we are in a world where the
13:40 percentage draw Downs are going to be
13:42 radically smaller now than they were in
13:44 the past we don’t know that I just think
13:45 there’s a high probability that you know
13:47 we’re not going to see the same sort of
13:49 big draw downs we have in the past if I
13:51 had to predict how big the biggest draw
13:53 down is in um you know in 2020 uh 2026
13:57 if there is one I would say 50% but I
13:60 think it’s a 50% coming off of I don’t
14:02 know 240,000 down to you know down to20
14:08 or 280,000 dropping down to two you know
14:11 140,000 so I think whatever it is I
14:13 think that the price drop in
14:15 2026 is going to end up being dropping
14:18 to a price that is above 97 which is why
14:22 I think now is a great time to buy
14:23 Bitcoin which is why I personally bought
14:25 hundreds of thousands of dollars of
14:27 additional Bitcoin today literally day I
14:30 bought hundreds of thousands of dollars
14:31 of additional Bitcoin uh because I had a
14:34 stock a company that I had invested back
14:36 in 2021 the stock became liquid today
14:39 which means my first opportunity to sell
14:40 the stock um uh became available and so
14:45 I sold that stock this morning and I
14:47 bought Bitcoin with it well I would not
14:49 be buying hundreds of thousands of
14:51 dollars of Bitcoin at $997,000 per coin
14:54 if I did not think now was a great time
14:55 to buy Bitcoin I think now is a great
14:57 time to buy Bitcoin that’s why I’m
14:58 buying Bitcoin
14:60 um so but the reason you need to know
15:02 this is because here’s what I do not
15:04 want you to do here’s what a lot of
15:06 people do right so the price crosses
15:09 $100,000 and for the second time and a
15:11 bunch of people are going to wake up
15:12 they’re like oh man it crossed 100 the
15:14 first time but I wasn’t ready and I
15:16 wasn’t paying attention and then it
15:17 dropped back down then I thought the
15:19 rally was over then I thought the price
15:20 you know the party was done no point in
15:23 you know investing in something after
15:24 the party ends and then when it crosses
15:26 100,000 again which I don’t know might
15:28 be tomorrow might be next week might be
15:30 in a month I don’t know it’s going to
15:31 cross 100 again and the people are going
15:33 to be like ooh 100,000 that’s you know
15:37 it’s back like I really got to get it
15:39 this time so they’ll buy a little bit at
15:40 100 then they’ll buy more at 120 they’ll
15:43 buy more at 160 they’ll buy more at
15:45 200,000 they’ll buy more at 220,000 and
15:48 finally their their conviction will be
15:51 let’s let’s assume that you know the top
15:52 of this Market cycle is somewhere
15:54 between 280,000 and 350,000 let’s use
15:57 280 because that’s the illustration I
15:59 used ear right so they’re like okay you
16:02 know I’m going to you know their their
16:04 conviction keeps growing every time they
16:05 buy and then finally it gets to 240,000
16:08 they’re like I’m all in this is going to
16:10 go on forever this is you know can’t
16:12 possib I can’t possibly lose and they
16:14 shove all their money in that they could
16:17 possibly afford at 240,000 and then we
16:20 subsequently go back to 140 for a period
16:22 of time and then go back up to 500,000
16:25 but their conviction is they bought at
16:27 240 which means they’re going to end up
16:28 underwater
16:30 at a price below 240,000 for an extended
16:32 period of time it will come back you
16:34 know in if there’s a big recession in
16:36 2026 we’ll probably get back up to that
16:39 price in 2027 or 2028 and then we’ll
16:41 pass 500,000 and go on our way to a
16:44 million so we’re going to go to a
16:46 million regardless but I just hate to
16:48 see people invest at the very peak of a
16:50 cycle because if you invest in the peak
16:52 of the cycle you have to be patient to
16:55 you know for the investment to come back
16:56 up after the the the cycle passes and
16:60 you end up with a bunch of Bitcoin you
17:01 bought at 240,000 or 280,000 a coin that
17:05 you know you could have bought now for
17:06 right for 97,000 a coin or if it you
17:10 know really gets insane you could dollar
17:12 cost average and that at least gives you
17:13 some uh you know uh evens it out a
17:16 little bit um so to recap I think now is
17:19 a great time to buy Bitcoin below
17:21 $100,000 it’s at $97,000 per right now
17:24 if you decide you know I think the
17:27 probability of a major correction if
17:28 somebody said you have to pick are we in
17:30 a super cycle where we just don’t get
17:32 you know huge price pullbacks like we
17:34 used to or are is it going to follow the
17:36 same fouryear cycle I would say I don’t
17:38 know 50/50 either way 50 50% chance
17:41 either way okay so if you got a 50%
17:44 chance either way then there’s a 50%
17:46 chance we’re not going to get a big
17:47 price pullback which means now is a good
17:48 time to buy no matter what and even if
17:50 we do there’s a good chance that the
17:52 lowest price you’ll be able to buy it in
17:54 the next downturn is at a price higher
17:56 than 97,000 meaning now is also a good
17:58 time to buy
17:59 so um so again the problems with waiting
18:02 for a downturn is you know you’re not
18:04 going to time it right and there may not
18:06 be one and you get end up getting left
18:08 you know Left Behind the whole time
18:10 which is you know what happens to people
18:11 all the time so my goal for everyone is
18:14 that Bitcoin is a blessing to them that
18:17 living on sound money which means money
18:19 that the government can’t just inflate
18:20 out of nowhere that is a blessing to
18:22 everyone and the more it is a blessing
18:24 to everyone the better it is for you
18:26 know all of the people I know and love
18:28 and hopefully that you know the vast
18:29 majority of those people are on Facebook
18:31 and hopefully some of them watching this
18:32 video um so anyway so now’s a great time
18:35 to buy I would not wait for a dip the
18:37 higher the price goes you’re going to
18:39 notice that my videos become more uh
18:42 cautionary as and if we end up on an
18:45 epic price run where it just like blows
18:47 the roof off I’m going to be like okay
18:49 people you know you were supposed to buy
18:51 as much Bitcoin as you could before this
18:53 happened doesn’t mean it’s a bad time to
18:55 buy I mean if the price races from
18:57 100,000 up to 40 150 180 that doesn’t
19:01 mean it’s a bad time to buy it’s just
19:03 man it makes me nervous because you’re
19:05 you’re you’re trying to catch a uh you
19:08 know a a a rocket that is in the process
19:10 of blasting off and when you’re trying
19:11 to catch a rocket that’s in the process
19:13 of blasting off if it doesn’t go as high
19:15 as you want you can end up kind of
19:16 grabbing the rocket at the very peak of
19:18 its liftoff or at the peak of its
19:21 altitude before it comes back down for a
19:23 breather before It ultimately goes where
19:24 you want it to go so um it’s not really
19:27 a problem because Bitcoin is such an
19:28 incredible asset that I think you know
19:30 it’s going to take over the world it
19:31 will be the future monetary system no
19:32 matter what it just means you’re going
19:34 to end up having to be a lot more
19:35 patient than you want to be so uh you
19:38 might have to uh you know if you if you
19:40 time the market the worst possible time
19:43 well you might be waiting two years
19:44 before your you know investment is up
19:46 versus at a time like now it feels
19:48 pretty solid that you’re going to feel
19:50 good about your investment uh no matter
19:51 what so uh anyway so I think in the
19:55 three-year cycle the previous all-time
19:58 Peak years we’re 2013 2017 and 2021 so
20:03 given that it is a 4-year price cycle
20:05 that would predict that 2025 should be
20:07 an amazing year for Bitcoin so I expect
20:10 everyone in Bitcoin expects 2025 to be
20:12 an amazing year for Bitcoin the dangers
20:15 for an amaz amazing year of Bitcoin is
20:18 fear of missing out now there’s nothing
20:19 wrong with fear of missing out but
20:21 ideally you want to have fear of missing
20:23 out when the price is lower instead of
20:24 higher and the people who have to be the
20:26 most patient are the people who are hit
20:28 with fear of missing out when the price
20:31 is just going insane and the price when
20:34 the price is going insane and people are
20:35 just piling in not only does it make the
20:38 price go even more insane it also means
20:40 the people are buying at those
20:41 comparatively high prices are just going
20:43 to have to be a lot more patient for the
20:45 price of Bitcoin to be consistently
20:47 above the price they bought versus right
20:49 now at 97,000 a coin it feels like yeah
20:52 I feel I feel good about this if
20:53 somebody came to me and said should I
20:54 buy right now I’d say yeah uh I think
20:57 Bitcoin at 97,000 is a good you know
20:59 that doesn’t mean you won’t have to be
21:00 patient it just means I don’t think
21:02 you’re buying some sort of top or
21:03 something like that which becomes more
21:06 likely sort of you know the more if
21:09 you’re buying in a again a parabolic
21:10 insane up upward rally it gets more and
21:13 more likely that you are buying on a
21:15 sort of a Cra Crazy upside um so anyway
21:18 I think it’s a great time to buy I would
21:19 not wait but I also you know if you
21:22 haven’t been studying Bitcoin and
21:24 understanding its value I would get on
21:25 it so that you acquire as much Bitcoin
21:27 as you can while the prices are still
21:29 comparatively low um otherwise you just
21:31 have to be a lot patient for a lot
21:32 longer which is fine you know investing
21:34 is about patience regardless so uh
21:36 anyway I’ll do a lot more videos about
21:38 whether or not there will be a downturn
21:40 in 2026 what I think’s happening in
21:42 2025 and how it all fits together but I
21:45 wanted to at least kick this one off
21:47 with those are my thoughts of where we
21:49 are still a great time to buy I would
21:51 not wait for a downturn but there might
21:52 be a downturn in 2026 and you know
21:56 better to frontload your Bitcoin
21:58 purchases the price is still low then
22:00 suddenly get a huge amount of conviction
22:02 when the price is going vertical and
22:04 then suddenly your vertical purchases
22:06 end up having do requiring you to be a
22:08 patient for a lot longer still a great
22:10 investment you just have to be patient
22:11 for a lot longer if you’re buying in
22:13 that sort of vertical rally so hope this
22:15 video is helpful have a great day
22:16 everyone