At $95,000 per bitcoin, do I think bitcoin is going to go higher? YES! Here are the reasons why

Published May 5, 2025

  • YouTube Video Transcript

    00:01 Hey everyone, Bitcoin is about $95,000
    00:04 per coin. And I get asked now and then
    00:06 if I think Bitcoin will go higher and
    00:09 the answer, of course, is absolutely
    00:11 yes. I think Bitcoin will ultimately go
    00:13 much higher than today. But the
    00:15 important thing is why. Why do I think
    00:17 Bitcoin will go higher? Because it’s one
    00:19 thing to just think any asset will just
    00:21 go up. It’s another to understand why it
    00:23 will go up and to have certainty about
    00:25 why it will go up. uh which I do with
    00:28 regard to Bitcoin which is why I have
    00:30 100% of my liquid assets that I own or
    00:34 control are in Bitcoin as opposed to I
    00:37 have zero stocks, zero bonds and almost
    00:40 zero cash just enough working balances
    00:43 in bank accounts that if I write a check
    00:45 to a babysitter or something like that
    00:47 that it does it does not bounce in my
    00:50 bank account. Okay. So, why do I think
    00:52 Bitcoin will go up from $95,000 a coin?
    00:55 Well, the answer is because only a very
    00:58 small percentage of the people who could
    01:00 benefit from Bitcoin already own any.
    01:03 And I’ll explain what I mean by benefit.
    01:05 So for right now worldwide, something
    01:08 like 5% of the world owns any Bitcoin.
    01:11 And most of that 5% has a very small
    01:14 percent of their total net worth in
    01:17 Bitcoin. meaning it represents a very
    01:19 tiny percentage of the total savings and
    01:22 investment of all the people that it
    01:24 could one day represent a large
    01:26 percentage of their savings of and
    01:28 investment. So what problem does Bitcoin
    01:31 solve that these people have recognized
    01:34 that I believe the other 95% of the
    01:36 world will eventually recognize and that
    01:39 is you need a place to save your time
    01:42 and energy. Money, the concept of money,
    01:45 the technology of money, most of which
    01:47 is represented by the US dollar these
    01:50 days, is a way to save your time and
    01:53 energy for something you might want to
    01:55 buy in the future. If you knew for the
    01:58 rest of your life exactly everything you
    01:59 would want, then you could just have
    02:01 whoever pays you pay me in those
    02:03 products. So, you might show up and
    02:05 rather than collect a paycheck, you get
    02:07 a blender, a pair of shoes, um a new
    02:10 Wi-Fi router, and a bunch of other
    02:12 random stuff. just delivered to your
    02:14 house every two weeks instead of a
    02:15 paycheck. But the truth is, you don’t
    02:17 know exactly what you’re going to want
    02:19 to buy over the next two weeks or two
    02:21 months or two years or two decades. You
    02:23 don’t know with absolute certainty today
    02:26 what you want to buy. Otherwise, you
    02:28 could just set up your life with a
    02:30 payment plan for all of that. So, what
    02:31 is money? Well, money is a way to store
    02:35 your time and energy so that you can
    02:37 spend it at a future time. And in order
    02:39 for money to do that job effectively, it
    02:42 needs to be scarce. Meaning, the time
    02:44 and energy you save up today to buy
    02:46 something ought to buy you as much or
    02:49 more in the future as compared to what
    02:52 it does today. Uh, in fact, it should
    02:54 buy you more in the future because in
    02:57 addition to saving up your time and
    02:58 energy, if you are willing to defer your
    03:01 consumption, meaning if you’re willing
    03:03 to wait and be patient, then a good
    03:06 money will increase in purchasing power
    03:08 over time rather than decrease. So, the
    03:11 money we use today has a fatal flaw,
    03:13 which is that humans control it. Humans
    03:16 decide how much money there is in the US
    03:19 dollar money system. And those humans
    03:23 who are at the Federal Reserve, although
    03:25 the influence of how much money there is
    03:28 is much, you know, as much controlled by
    03:30 politicians and political appointees and
    03:33 bureaucrats and all the people that
    03:36 typical people like to hate. Those
    03:39 people control the money, but
    03:40 technically it’s actually controlled by
    03:43 the Federal Reserve and they are
    03:45 influenced by all of these other forces.
    03:47 Well, those people are fallible, sinful
    03:50 people just like the rest of us. And if
    03:52 you give them a magic money printer,
    03:54 they will find an excuse to use it. And
    03:57 never in human history have humans had
    03:59 the ability to print money out of thin
    04:01 air and resisted the temptation long
    04:04 term. always eventually those humans
    04:07 come up with an excuse or some sort of
    04:09 panic or some sort of emergency that
    04:12 necessitates they believe printing vast
    04:15 quantities of money. So, for example,
    04:17 the total amount of money in circulation
    04:19 was something like uh $2 trillion
    04:22 before, I’m going to use round numbers
    04:23 here, something like $2 trillion before
    04:26 the great recession. And they made the
    04:28 decision that they should double that to
    04:30 roughly $4 trillion. And then after the
    04:33 great uh financial recession of 2008
    04:36 when COVID hit, actually it really
    04:38 started in 2019. Uh there was a lot of
    04:40 cracks in the system in 2019. the
    04:43 decision was made to double the money
    04:44 supply again from roughly $4 trillion to
    04:48 $8 trillion. And then there’s different
    04:50 measures of it that run up as high as
    04:52 $22 trillion or $23 trillion. But the
    04:55 short take is every time the massively
    04:58 debt laden, deeply indebted financial
    05:00 system we live in in the United States
    05:02 where the government itself is $36
    05:04 trillion in debt. Every time that system
    05:06 starts totering on the brink and they
    05:09 start to get worried that people won’t
    05:10 pay able to pay back the money, they
    05:12 dump a huge amount of new freshly minted
    05:14 out of thin air money into the system to
    05:17 try to save it. And they will do that
    05:19 once again the next time there are more
    05:22 cracks in the system. And worldwide
    05:23 that’s already happening, although it’s
    05:25 has yet to happen in the biggest way in
    05:28 the United States, but it’s coming. So,
    05:31 everyone has a problem, which is they’re
    05:33 trying to save up their time and energy
    05:34 so that they can buy stuff in the
    05:35 future. And the people who control their
    05:38 ability to do that. The people who
    05:40 control the value of their dollars make
    05:43 up excuses out of thin air and print a
    05:46 ton more of that money, which devalues
    05:48 the dollars you already have. So instead
    05:50 of holding your purchasing power and
    05:52 enabling you to buy as much or more in
    05:55 the future as a good money does, instead
    05:57 your money deteriorates by between
    05:60 usually 4% and 9% per year. The
    06:03 government actually prints out of thin
    06:05 air about 7% more money uh every year.
    06:08 But that results when it all trickles
    06:09 down of your prices that you pay at the
    06:12 grocery store or for a bicycle or a used
    06:15 car or whatever it is typically going up
    06:18 something like on average 4% to 9% a
    06:21 year. And then when you get bouts of
    06:23 high inflation, like right after they
    06:25 print a bunch of money, uh that
    06:27 inflation can spike up into the double
    06:29 digits, 11%, 12%, 13% for periods of
    06:33 time before they try to get it back
    06:35 under control by promising the world
    06:37 that they will not be so irresponsible
    06:39 and will not print so much money, which
    06:41 of course lasts for a short period of
    06:42 time before they do it all over again.
    06:44 And the Federal Reserve has been doing
    06:46 this since 1913 when it was created. Uh
    06:49 so more roughly 112 years ago, whatever
    06:53 that is. Um from 1913 to the present, uh
    06:56 they have been promising that this
    06:59 irresponsible money printing that they
    07:00 just did is the last time they’re going
    07:02 to do it. And a few years later, they do
    07:04 it again. And then a few years later,
    07:05 they do it again. And a few years later,
    07:07 they do it again. And they will never
    07:08 stop. Now, you might thinking, you might
    07:10 be thinking, well, that’s not really a
    07:12 problem because I’m saving up my wealth
    07:14 in my house. I’m making down payments on
    07:17 my house and so I’m uh you know immune
    07:19 from this government money printing. Um
    07:22 that has problems because your house
    07:24 devalues over time, your stocks devalue
    07:26 over time, your bonds devalue over time.
    07:29 And in my next video, I will go into all
    07:30 the details of why that is. But I will
    07:33 save that for the next video which I
    07:34 will start momentarily

**Originally recorded 5/5/25**

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Disclaimer:

The content provided in this post is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and all opinions expressed are my own. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in Bitcoin or any other assets carries risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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