The smart money is buying bitcoin from naïve holders that will one day regret selling

Published September 17, 2025

  • YouTube Video Transcript

    00:01 The smart money or another way of saying
    00:04 that is the halves are buying their
    00:06 Bitcoin from the have nots right now who
    00:09 are selling it. And I wish the have-
    00:11 knots would stop. So why do I know this?
    00:14 Well, because the trading volume of
    00:16 Bitcoin over the last 24 hours was $50
    00:19 billion. And for every buyer, there’s a
    00:21 seller, which means $50 billion of
    00:24 Bitcoin got bought in the last 24 hours.
    00:27 And I know that not all of that is smart
    00:31 money buying Bitcoin and selling Bitcoin
    00:33 to each other. A significant amount of
    00:35 that sales is from people with money,
    00:38 the smart money buying Bitcoin from
    00:40 people who will ultimately one day not
    00:43 have that Bitcoin because they don’t
    00:44 understand what they’re doing and
    00:45 they’re selling it. Now, this has
    00:48 happened all the way through Bitcoin’s
    00:49 life cycle. And it’s the reason that
    00:51 even when Bitcoin’s $1 million per coin,
    00:54 there will be a lot more people that
    00:55 once upon a time owned Bitcoin than
    00:58 there are people who actually still own
    01:00 it at $1 million. Now, some of that is
    01:04 people who bought it really cheap, made
    01:07 a ton of money, and are deciding to
    01:09 liquidate some Bitcoin to go on a nice
    01:10 vacation or upgrade their house or their
    01:13 car or something like that, which is all
    01:14 fine. But a lot of that selling pressure
    01:17 is average regular people who bought
    01:20 Bitcoin and don’t understand what they
    01:22 hold. And so maybe they bought Bitcoin
    01:24 at 120,000. They don’t understand how
    01:27 investing works. The price drops to 115.
    01:31 They feel like it’s really not doing
    01:32 anything. You know, maybe it goes back
    01:34 to 120. They sell it and they’re like,
    01:35 “Well, I tried Bitcoin. You know, I
    01:38 tried it. Held it for a few weeks, maybe
    01:39 a few months. Didn’t really do anything
    01:41 for me.” And they sold it. uh and then
    01:44 once upon a time at some point in the
    01:46 future they will come back and they will
    01:48 wish that they had never sold that
    01:50 Bitcoin. I have numerous friends many of
    01:53 which bought Bitcoin even before I was
    01:56 being very public about my Bitcoin
    01:57 ownership on Facebook. For example, I
    01:60 remember one person who bought a good
    02:02 bit of Bitcoin at $5,000 per coin and
    02:04 sold it at $20,000 per coin. And this
    02:08 individual, you know, they’ll still be
    02:09 fine, but they were pretty proud of the
    02:11 fact that they made four times their
    02:13 money. But the problem is they made four
    02:15 times their money. They could have made
    02:17 20 times their money. And if they had
    02:19 waited even longer, they could have made
    02:21 200 times their money. So, it’s pretty
    02:23 painful to make four times your money
    02:26 when you could have made 200 times your
    02:28 money. And guess what? A bunch of smart
    02:30 money is going to ride the rest of that
    02:32 elevator. So, if you get on on the fifth
    02:34 floor of a building, ride up to the 20th
    02:36 floor, and then it goes to the 200th
    02:38 floor, well, dang, that was quite a miss
    02:41 on your part. Uh, pretty unfortunate.
    02:44 Um, but people are doing that. So, there
    02:46 there’s new people getting into Bitcoin.
    02:48 They don’t understand what they’re
    02:49 doing. They have not taken the time to
    02:51 understand Bitcoin or understand any
    02:52 kind of investing. And they either sell
    02:54 it at about the price they paid for it
    02:56 or with modest gain. And I’ve got
    02:58 friends also. I got a friend who bought
    03:01 $300,000 worth of Bitcoin back in 2021.
    03:04 It the value dropped to 100,000 and he
    03:08 sold it all. He was like, “Well, Bitcoin
    03:10 is not for me. I lost money.” He lost a
    03:11 couple hundred grand. Um, but that same
    03:14 Bitcoin had he held on to it would have
    03:16 probably been worth a million by now.
    03:18 So, uh, again, he’ll be fine. But
    03:21 there’s just a whole lot of people
    03:22 selling Bitcoin. When you have $50
    03:24 billion of Bitcoin trading hands in the
    03:27 last 24 hours, a bunch of that is people
    03:29 that are going to regret it. And a bunch
    03:31 of these smart money is on the buying
    03:33 side. So if you look at why is the price
    03:36 of Bitcoin basically stuck at 115,000
    03:39 for the last day or two, the answer is
    03:41 not because corporations stopped buying
    03:44 Bitcoin or that high net worth
    03:45 individuals stopped buying Bitcoin or
    03:48 that nation states states stopped buying
    03:50 Bitcoin. What happened is there was just
    03:53 enough retail naive investors who don’t
    03:56 know what they hold, don’t know how
    03:57 investing works, or have gotten bored
    04:00 with Bitcoin even though it’s up 100% in
    04:02 the last 12 months, and they’re like,
    04:04 “Nah, I’ll just sell it.” And they go on
    04:05 Coinbase or whatever, and they hit sell,
    04:07 and they think, “Well, I tried Bitcoin.
    04:09 It wasn’t for me.” And what they don’t
    04:11 realize is they’re just missing out on
    04:13 this massive epic upside that they just
    04:16 didn’t do the work and didn’t have the
    04:18 patience to experience. Meanwhile, the
    04:21 smart money who’s on the other side of
    04:22 that trade is
    04:25 uh buying Bitcoin handover fist with
    04:28 every dollar they can scrge out of their
    04:29 couch cushions because they do
    04:30 understand what it is that they have and
    04:34 they are not going to panic sell it uh
    04:36 in the heat of a moment or more
    04:39 importantly when they get bored. So,
    04:41 please act like the smart money. Do not
    04:44 be the people who sell your Bitcoin
    04:47 thinking it’s boring or it’s not for you
    04:50 or all of the returns of Bitcoin are in
    04:52 the past because with $50 billion
    04:55 getting bought in the last 24 hours, I
    04:59 promise you it’s uh the price would have
    05:01 moved if there were not people naively
    05:04 selling who are going to one day deeply
    05:07 regret it. I just hope that is not you.

**Originally recorded 9/15/25**

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The content provided in this post is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and all opinions expressed are my own. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in Bitcoin or any other assets carries risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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